Buyer Advice Dave Dubbin July 13, 2026
Can you actually afford your first home in Etobicoke this year?
Probably more than you think. The average one bedroom condo here sold for $503,448 in May 2026, prices are well off their 2022 peak, and there are more first time buyer programs stacked up right now than we've seen in our careers. Here's the whole picture, with real numbers.
Let's start with the market, because the market is doing first time buyers a favour for once.
Condos are where most first purchases happen, and prices have been falling for four years. The average one bedroom condo apartment in Etobicoke (TRREB districts W06 through W09) sold for $503,448 in May 2026. In May 2022 that number was about $649,000. Same unit type, same neighbourhoods, roughly $145,000 less.
May of each year | Average sale price |
|---|---|
2021 | about $588,000 |
2022 | about $649,000 |
2023 | about $627,000 |
2024 | about $562,000 |
2025 | $539,258 |
2026 | $503,448 |
Across the GTA, TRREB reported an average sold price of $1,058,658 in June 2026, down 3.9 percent from a year earlier, while sales rose 9.4 percent. In the City of Toronto, condo prices were down 9 percent from last June even as condo sales jumped more than 14 percent. Translation: buyers are coming back, but sellers are still negotiating. That window does not stay open forever.
We wrote a full breakdown of the condo numbers, including what you can buy for under $500k, in our one bedroom condo reality check.
The minimum down payment in Canada is 5 percent of the first $500,000 and 10 percent of anything above that, up to the $1.5 million insured mortgage cap. So the math looks like this.
Purchase price | Minimum down payment |
|---|---|
$500,000 | $25,000 |
$600,000 | $35,000 |
$700,000 | $45,000 |
$800,000 | $55,000 |
$1,000,000 | $75,000 |
At the average Etobicoke one bedroom price, you're looking at roughly $25,000 down. Not nothing, but a long way from the 20 percent figure that scares people off before they even call us.
One more rule change worth knowing. Since December 2024, first time buyers can take a 30 year amortization on an insured mortgage instead of 25 years. It costs a slightly higher insurance premium, but it lowers the monthly payment, and for a lot of buyers that's the difference between qualifying and not.
Down payment size changes more than your closing costs. It changes what you pay every month for the next couple of decades. Here is a $500,000 home at a 4 percent rate on a 25 year amortization, at three common down payments. The 5 percent and 10 percent figures include the CMHC insurance premium, which gets added to the mortgage whenever you put down less than 20 percent.
Down payment | Mortgage amount | Monthly payment |
|---|---|---|
5% ($25,000) | $494,000 (incl. $19,000 CMHC) | $2,599 |
10% ($50,000) | $463,950 (incl. $13,950 CMHC) | $2,440 |
20% ($100,000) | $400,000 | $2,104 |
The spread between 5 percent down and 20 percent down is about $495 a month, close to $6,000 a year. Some of that is the larger loan, some of it is the insurance premium you skip once you reach 20 percent. There is no single right answer. Putting less down gets you in the door sooner and keeps cash in your pocket, putting more down lowers the payment and avoids the premium. We can run your exact numbers whenever you want.
More for first time buyers:
Toronto buyers pay land transfer tax twice, once to Ontario and once to the City. First time buyers get a big chunk of it back: up to $4,000 from Ontario and up to $4,475 from Toronto, or $8,475 combined. Here's what you'd actually owe at different price points after the rebates.
Purchase price | Total land transfer tax | After first time buyer rebates |
|---|---|---|
$500,000 | $12,950 | $4,475 |
$600,000 | $16,950 | $8,475 |
$700,000 | $20,950 | $12,475 |
$800,000 | $24,950 | $16,475 |
Two more programs stack on top:
Buying a new build? There's now a federal GST rebate for first time buyers that became law in March 2026. It eliminates the GST on a new home up to $1 million and partially rebates it between $1 million and $1.5 million, worth up to $50,000. And Ontario's March 2026 budget proposed its own first time buyer rebate on top of that. Details are still coming, so ask us for the current state of play when you're ready.
The under $550k conversation in Etobicoke mostly happens in three places. Islington City Centre has the deepest selection of one bedroom condos, usually the best price per square foot, and the subway. Humber Bay Shores costs a little more but you're on the lake. Mimico and Long Branch mix older low rise condos with the occasional townhouse, and The Queensway keeps adding new buildings between the two.
If a house is the goal rather than a condo, the falling market has pulled some semis and towns in south Etobicoke closer to reach, and patient buyers should also read our guide to power of sale properties, where the occasional deal genuinely exists.
Our neighbourhood guides cover each pocket in more detail.
Prices are down, selection is up, the rebates are the richest they've ever been, and the down payment on an average Etobicoke one bedroom is about $25,000. Most first time buyers we meet are closer than they assumed. The ones who struggle are usually the ones who waited for a headline to tell them it was time.
If you want to know what your budget actually gets you, get in touch. No pitch, just numbers. You can also set up a custom search or grab our Buyer's Guide.
Dave Dubbin & Associates
Etobicoke Real Estate Experts
Real Estate Broker for Etobicoke and Toronto
Sources: TRREB Market Watch June 2026; Canada Revenue Agency, First-time home buyers' GST/HST rebate; Government of Ontario and City of Toronto land transfer tax rebate schedules.
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